Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 72 matches
Tested on 19,823 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches2,078 picks across 19,823 matches
- Hit rate
- 76.6%
- +11.7pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 77.1%
- +11.2pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 75.1%
- +13.1pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC — Sporting Kansas CityMLS | Nashville SC1X2 | High | 65% | 1.21 | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Nashville SC — Sporting Kansas CityMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 62% | 1.29 | 4–0 | Hit | |
| FC Dallas — Seattle SoundersMLS | FC Dallas1X2 | Low | 39% | 2.08 | 1–0 | Hit | |
| FC Dallas — Seattle SoundersMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Low | 53% | 1.50 | 1–0 | Miss | |
| Fluminense — PalmeirasCopa Libertadores | Fluminense1X2 | Low | 37% | 3.20 | 1–2 | Miss | |
| Fluminense — PalmeirasCopa Libertadores | Under 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 70% | 1.56 | 1–2 | Miss | |
| Inter Miami — New York City FCMLS | Inter Miami1X2 | Medium | 58% | 1.56 | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Inter Miami — New York City FCMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 69% | 1.39 | 2–0 | Miss | |
| FC Cincinnati — New England RevolutionMLS | FC Cincinnati1X2 | Medium | 50% | 2.26 | 2–3 | Miss | |
| CF Montreal — Atlanta United FCMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Low | 52% | 1.62 | 0–3 | Hit | |
| Columbus Crew — CharlotteMLS | Columbus Crew1X2 | Low | 45% | 1.91 | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Toronto FC — Orlando City SCMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 62% | 1.33 | 3–3 | Hit | |
| Aston Villa — FenerbahçeChampions League | Aston Villa1X2 | High | 69% | — | 6–0 | Hit | |
| Portsmouth — Sheffield UtdChampionship | Sheffield Utd1X2 | Low | 38% | 3.20 | 3–2 | Miss | |
| Lask Linz — LiverpoolChampions League | Liverpool1X2 | High | 83% | 1.47 | 3–6 | Hit | |
| Lask Linz — LiverpoolChampions League | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | 1.64 | 3–6 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.