Public ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 108 matches
Tested on 19,823 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches2,078 picks across 19,823 matches
- Hit rate
- 76.6%
- +11.7pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 77.1%
- +11.2pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 75.1%
- +13.1pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino — InterSerie A | Inter1X2 | High | 68% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| Borussia Dortmund — SC FreiburgBundesliga | Borussia Dortmund1X2 | High | 66% | — | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Kudrivka — Shakhtar DonetskUkrainian Premier League | Shakhtar Donetsk1X2 | High | 79% | — | 1–3 | Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart — Werder BremenBundesliga | VfB Stuttgart1X2 | High | 67% | — | 1–1 | Miss | |
| Polokwane City — StellenboschSouth African Premiership | Under 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Kanchanaburi — Buriram UnitedThai League 1 | Buriram United1X2 | High | 75% | — | 1–3 | Hit | |
| Club America — AtlasLiga MX | Club America1X2 | High | 69% | — | 0–1 | Miss | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — Colorado RapidsMLS | Vancouver Whitecaps1X2 | High | 66% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Toluca — LeonLiga MX | Toluca1X2 | High | 72% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| River Plate — AldosiviArgentina Liga Profesional | River Plate1X2 | High | 71% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Inter Miami — New England RevolutionMLS | Inter Miami1X2 | High | 71% | — | 1–1 | Miss | |
| Inter Miami — New England RevolutionMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 73% | — | 1–1 | Miss | |
| Benfica — MoreirenseLiga Portugal | Benfica1X2 | High | 77% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| Angers — Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 | Paris Saint Germain1X2 | High | 77% | — | 0–3 | Hit | |
| Celtic — FalkirkScottish Premiership | Celtic1X2 | High | 76% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Manchester City — SouthamptonFA Cup | Manchester City1X2 | High | 91% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Manchester City — SouthamptonFA Cup | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 75% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Feyenoord — GroningenEredivisie | Feyenoord1X2 | High | 66% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Slavia Praha — Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga | Slavia Praha1X2 | High | 73% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| FSV Mainz 05 — Bayern MünchenBundesliga | Bayern München1X2 | High | 68% | — | 3–4 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.