Public ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 85 matches
Tested on 19,823 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches2,078 picks across 19,823 matches
- Hit rate
- 76.6%
- +11.7pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 77.1%
- +11.2pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 75.1%
- +13.1pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha — Al-Hilal Saudi FCSaudi Pro League | Al-Hilal Saudi FC1X2 | High | 73% | — | 0–1 | Hit | |
| Palmeiras — Cerro PortenoCopa Libertadores | Palmeiras1X2 | High | 78% | — | 0–1 | Miss | |
| Independiente Petrolero — BotafogoCopa Sudamericana | Botafogo1X2 | High | 71% | — | 0–3 | Hit | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat — Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Pro League | Al-Ahli Jeddah1X2 | High | 67% | — | 1–4 | Hit | |
| Start — Bodo/GlimtEliteserien | Bodo/Glimt1X2 | High | 73% | — | 1–4 | Hit | |
| Rosario Central — UCVCopa Libertadores | Rosario Central1X2 | High | 69% | — | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Arsenal — BurnleyPremier League | Arsenal1X2 | High | 78% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Inter Miami — Portland TimbersMLS | Inter Miami1X2 | High | 66% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Inter Miami — Portland TimbersMLS | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 73% | — | 2–0 | Miss | |
| Barcelona — Real BetisLa Liga | Barcelona1X2 | High | 75% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Barcelona — Real BetisLa Liga | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 69% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Paris FC — Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 | Paris Saint Germain1X2 | High | 66% | — | 2–1 | Miss | |
| Fenerbahçe — EyüpsporSuper Lig | Fenerbahçe1X2 | High | 77% | — | 3–3 | Miss | |
| Radnik Surdulica — FK Crvena ZvezdaSerbian Super Liga | FK Crvena Zvezda1X2 | High | 73% | — | 0–0 | Miss | |
| Krasava Ypsonas — EnosisCypriot First Division | Krasava Ypsonas1X2 | High | 73% | — | 0–0 | Miss | |
| PSV Eindhoven — TwenteEredivisie | PSV Eindhoven1X2 | High | 69% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — TwenteEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 71% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| Sporting CP — GIL VicenteLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 78% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah — Al KholoodSaudi Pro League | Al-Ahli Jeddah1X2 | High | 76% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| SC Braga — EstrelaLiga Portugal | SC Braga1X2 | High | 72% | — | 2–2 | Miss |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.