Public ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 80 matches
Tested on 19,823 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches2,078 picks across 19,823 matches
- Hit rate
- 76.6%
- +11.7pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 77.1%
- +11.2pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 75.1%
- +13.1pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Always Ready — Universitario de VintoBolivia Primera División | Always Ready1X2 | High | 82% | — | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Viking — SandefjordEliteserien | Viking1X2 | High | 71% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Bolívar — GuabiráBolivia Primera División | Bolívar1X2 | High | 87% | — | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Bolívar — GuabiráBolivia Primera División | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 75% | — | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Bahia — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Bahia1X2 | High | 66% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Levski Sofia — Dunav RuseBulgarian First League | Levski Sofia1X2 | High | 75% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda — MacvaSerbian Super Liga | FK Crvena Zvezda1X2 | High | 87% | — | 5–0 | Hit | |
| Bodo/Glimt — FredrikstadEliteserien | Bodo/Glimt1X2 | High | 81% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| FC Levadia Tallinn — Caernarfon TownConference League | FC Levadia Tallinn1X2 | High | 66% | — | 5–0 | Hit | |
| The Strongest — Oriente PetroleroBolivia Primera División | The Strongest1X2 | High | 79% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Universitatea Craiova — ML VitebskChampions League | Universitatea Craiova1X2 | High | 65% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Real Oruro — Always ReadyBolivia Primera División | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | — | 0–6 | Hit | |
| Real Oruro — Gualberto Villarroel SJBolivia Primera División | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Palmeiras — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Palmeiras1X2 | High | 78% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Universitario — Sport HuancayoPeru Primera División | Universitario1X2 | High | 75% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — CoritibaBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 71% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Ludogorets — Lokomotiv PlovdivBulgarian First League | Ludogorets1X2 | High | 70% | — | 0–0 | Miss | |
| Cruzeiro — Barcelona SCCopa Libertadores | Cruzeiro1X2 | High | 66% | — | 4–0 | Hit | |
| Palmeiras — JuniorCopa Libertadores | Palmeiras1X2 | High | 73% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| River Plate — BloomingCopa Sudamericana | River Plate1X2 | High | 85% | — | 3–0 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.