Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 0 matches
Tested on 73 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches21 picks across 73 matches
- Hit rate
- 85.7%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 90.0%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 0.0%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo — CesenaCoppa Italia | Sassuolo1X2 | High | 82% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Lazio — MantovaCoppa Italia | Lazio1X2 | High | 83% | — | 0–2 | Miss | |
| Genoa — AscoliCoppa Italia | Genoa1X2 | High | 71% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| Frosinone — Juve StabiaCoppa Italia | Frosinone1X2 | High | 80% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| Torino — CarrareseCoppa Italia | Torino1X2 | High | 74% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Venezia — ModenaCoppa Italia | Venezia1X2 | High | 81% | — | 3–2 | Hit | |
| Udinese — PadovaCoppa Italia | Udinese1X2 | High | 78% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Fiorentina — BeneventoCoppa Italia | Fiorentina1X2 | High | 78% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| Monza — AvellinoCoppa Italia | Monza1X2 | High | 79% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Inter — TorinoCoppa Italia | Inter1X2 | High | 82% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Inter — VeneziaCoppa Italia | Inter1X2 | High | 90% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| Genoa — EmpoliCoppa Italia | Genoa1X2 | High | 75% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Parma — SpeziaCoppa Italia | Parma1X2 | High | 73% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| AC Milan — LecceCoppa Italia | AC Milan1X2 | High | 77% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Cagliari — FrosinoneCoppa Italia | Cagliari1X2 | High | 73% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| Udinese — CarrareseCoppa Italia | Udinese1X2 | High | 72% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| AC Milan — BariCoppa Italia | AC Milan1X2 | High | 86% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Parma — PescaraCoppa Italia | Parma1X2 | High | 76% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Como — SudtirolCoppa Italia | Como1X2 | High | 83% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Sassuolo — CatanzaroCoppa Italia | Sassuolo1X2 | High | 79% | — | 1–0 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.