Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 0 matches
Tested on 168 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches40 picks across 168 matches
- Hit rate
- 80.0%
- +25.0pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 80.0%
- +28.6pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 80.0%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City — NorwichEFL Cup | Manchester City1X2 | High | 89% | — | 5–0 | Hit | |
| Manchester City — NorwichEFL Cup | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 73% | — | 5–0 | Hit | |
| Everton — WolvesEFL Cup | Everton1X2 | High | 73% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Reading — BrentfordEFL Cup | Brentford1X2 | High | 79% | — | 1–2 | Hit | |
| Millwall — NewcastleEFL Cup | Newcastle1X2 | High | 72% | — | 0–1 | Hit | |
| Fulham — AFC WimbledonEFL Cup | Fulham1X2 | High | 78% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Chelsea — LutonEFL Cup | Chelsea1X2 | High | 84% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Chelsea — LutonEFL Cup | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | — | 2–0 | Miss | |
| Tottenham — CharltonEFL Cup | Tottenham1X2 | High | 72% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| Newcastle — West BromEFL Cup | Newcastle1X2 | High | 76% | — | 3–2 | Hit | |
| Plymouth — CoventryEFL Cup | Coventry1X2 | High | 72% | — | 2–4 | Hit | |
| Ipswich — LeicesterEFL Cup | Ipswich1X2 | High | 78% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Leicester — NorthamptonEFL Cup | Leicester1X2 | High | 72% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Cardiff — ChelseaEFL Cup | Chelsea1X2 | High | 83% | — | 1–3 | Hit | |
| Swansea — Manchester CityEFL Cup | Manchester City1X2 | High | 84% | — | 1–3 | Hit | |
| Grimsby — BrentfordEFL Cup | Brentford1X2 | High | 83% | — | 0–5 | Hit | |
| Port Vale — ArsenalEFL Cup | Arsenal1X2 | High | 87% | — | 0–2 | Hit | |
| Tottenham — DoncasterEFL Cup | Tottenham1X2 | High | 79% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Huddersfield — Manchester CityEFL Cup | Manchester City1X2 | High | 85% | — | 0–2 | Hit | |
| Newcastle — BradfordEFL Cup | Newcastle1X2 | High | 82% | — | 4–1 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.