Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 0 matches
Tested on 437 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches23 picks across 437 matches
- Hit rate
- 78.3%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 78.3%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- —
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo — RB BragantinoBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 67% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — MirassolBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 69% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — VitoriaBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 73% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Bahia — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Bahia1X2 | High | 66% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Palmeiras — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Palmeiras1X2 | High | 78% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — CoritibaBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 71% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Cruzeiro — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Cruzeiro1X2 | High | 69% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Mirassol — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Mirassol1X2 | High | 71% | — | 1–1 | Miss | |
| Flamengo — Vasco DA GamaBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 68% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| Botafogo — RemoBrazil Série A | Botafogo1X2 | High | 65% | — | 1–2 | Miss | |
| Fluminense — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Fluminense1X2 | High | 74% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — BahiaBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 65% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Atletico Paranaense — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Atletico Paranaense1X2 | High | 67% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — SantosBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 66% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Palmeiras — GremioBrazil Série A | Palmeiras1X2 | High | 67% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — RemoBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 75% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Sao Paulo — Chapecoense-scBrazil Série A | Sao Paulo1X2 | High | 69% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Palmeiras — VitoriaBrazil Série A | Palmeiras1X2 | High | 70% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| Flamengo — InternacionalBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 69% | — | 1–1 | Miss | |
| Flamengo — RB BragantinoBrazil Série A | Flamengo1X2 | High | 65% | — | 3–0 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.