Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 0 matches
Tested on 313 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches71 picks across 313 matches
- Hit rate
- 84.5%
- +18.3pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 85.7%
- +20.6pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 75.0%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica — Vitória SCLiga Portugal | Benfica1X2 | High | 73% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Sporting CP — AroucaLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 83% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| Sporting CP — AroucaLiga Portugal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 69% | — | 2–2 | Hit | |
| Benfica — GIL VicenteLiga Portugal | Benfica1X2 | High | 73% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Moreirense — BenficaLiga Portugal | Benfica1X2 | High | 65% | — | 0–4 | Hit | |
| Sporting CP — NacionalLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 85% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| FC Porto — MoreirenseLiga Portugal | FC Porto1X2 | High | 76% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Benfica — EstorilLiga Portugal | Benfica1X2 | High | 78% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Benfica — EstorilLiga Portugal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 69% | — | 2–1 | Hit | |
| Rio Ave — Sporting CPLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 72% | — | 0–4 | Hit | |
| FC Porto — AroucaLiga Portugal | FC Porto1X2 | High | 75% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Sporting CP — AlvercaLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 86% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Sporting CP — AlvercaLiga Portugal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 69% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Sporting CP — Vitória SCLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 80% | — | 3–2 | Hit | |
| Benfica — Academico ViseuLiga Portugal | Benfica1X2 | High | 75% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| FC Porto — AlvercaLiga Portugal | FC Porto1X2 | High | 78% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Estrela — Sporting CPLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 73% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| Sporting CP — GIL VicenteLiga Portugal | Sporting CP1X2 | High | 78% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| SC Braga — EstrelaLiga Portugal | SC Braga1X2 | High | 72% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| FC Porto — Santa ClaraLiga Portugal | FC Porto1X2 | High | 69% | — | 1–0 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.