Valencia vs Real Madrid preview and prediction: bottom-three hosts face a side with 8 wins from 10

Context at Mestalla

Valencia host Real Madrid at the Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. The game is part of La Liga.

As things stand, the two sides are a long way apart in the table. Valencia are 19th after 10 games, with 1 win, 3 draws, 6 defeats and 6 points. Real Madrid are 3rd with 8 wins, 2 defeats and 24 points from the same number of matches. That is a gap of 18 points. Both sides may play again before this fixture, so these figures are a snapshot from the time of writing.

Valencia's recent form

Valencia's last 5 games brought 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded. They lost 1-2 at home to Villarreal on 24 October and drew 0-0 at home to Athletic Club a week earlier. Before that came a 2-2 draw away at Racing Santander.

The season numbers show where the problem lies. Valencia average 0.7 goals per match and have failed to score in 50% of their games. They concede 1.7 per match and have kept a clean sheet in 30%.

The expected goals figures are a little kinder. Valencia created 1.8 against Racing Santander and 1.41 against Athletic Club, so chances have come even when goals have not.

Real Madrid's recent form

Real Madrid have won each of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6. The run includes a 2-1 win away at Barcelona on 25 October, a 4-1 home win over RB Leipzig and a 4-1 home win over Sevilla. They also won 4-3 away at AS Roma and 1-0 at home to Villarreal.

Over the season they average 2.5 goals per match and have failed to score in only 10% of their games. They concede 1 per match and have kept a clean sheet in 20%. Some 80% of their matches have produced more than 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Of the last 5 meetings, Real Madrid have won 3, Valencia 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was a 2-0 win for Real Madrid at Mestalla on 8 February 2026. Before that Real Madrid won 4-0 at home on 1 November 2025.

Valencia's win came away from home on 5 April 2025, when they won 2-1 at Real Madrid's ground. The last meeting between the sides at Mestalla before February 2026 was a 2-1 Real Madrid win on 3 January 2025, and the draw was 2-2 on 2 March 2024.

Outlook

The form and the table point clearly towards the visitors. Real Madrid score freely and are on a strong run, while Valencia have struggled for goals. Valencia's chance creation suggests they can still make life awkward at home. Even so, the evidence favours Real Madrid, and a game with goals at both ends looks plausible given their recent matches.