Twente vs Ajax preview and prediction: fourth meets second in the Eredivisie

Context and table

Twente host Ajax in the Eredivisie on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC at De Grolsch Veste. As things stand at the time of writing, the two sides are close in the table.

Ajax are second with 24 points from 11 games. They have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 1, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded. Twente are fourth with 23 points from 11 games, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Their goal difference of 18 is the better of the two, against 17 for Ajax. Both positions may change before this fixture is played.

Twente's recent form

Twente have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding 3. The run includes a 9-0 win away at Excelsior on 1 November, a 2-0 win at AZ Alkmaar and a 4-1 win at Lincoln Red Imps FC. The one defeat in that spell was 1-2 at home to Utrecht on 18 October.

The underlying numbers back up the attacking output. Twente's expected goals figure was 6.13 against Excelsior and 4.79 against Lincoln Red Imps FC. Over the season they average 2.5 goals per match and concede 0.9. They have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their games and failed to score in only 9%.

Ajax's recent form

Ajax have also won 4 of their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They beat AZ Alkmaar 1-0 at home on 31 October, won 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam, beat Atalanta 2-0 and won 5-2 at Groningen. Their defeat in that run was 1-2 away to HNK Hajduk Split on 15 October.

The expected goals figures for the two latest league wins were modest. Ajax created 0.7 against AZ Alkmaar and 1.26 against Sparta Rotterdam. Across the season they average 2.7 goals per match and concede 1.2. They have scored in every league game so far, with a failed-to-score rate of 0%. In 73% of their matches there have been more than 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Ajax have the better record in the last 5 meetings, with 3 wins to Twente's 1 and 1 draw. Twente have won the two most recent, though. They won 2-1 away on 4 April 2026 and 3-2 at home...

Correction of that line: Ajax won 3-2 at Twente on 26 October 2025, so the last two meetings were split. Twente won 2-1 at Ajax on 4 April 2026, and Ajax won 3-2 at De Grolsch Veste on 26 October 2025. Before that came a 2-0 Ajax win on 18 May 2025, a 2-2 draw on 10 November 2024 and a 2-1 Ajax win on 14 April 2024.

Outlook

No absences are reported for either side at the time of writing.

The form points towards a close game. Twente have the stronger defensive numbers over the season, while Ajax have scored in every league match. With a single point between them in the table, a tight contest looks likely, and the coming rounds may reshape the picture before kick-off.