Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund preview and prediction: two unbeaten sides level on 17 points

Context and table

Bayern München host Borussia Dortmund at the Allianz Arena on Saturday 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. The game is in the Bundesliga.

As things stand at the time of writing, the two sides occupy the top two places. Bayern München are first and Borussia Dortmund second, with both on 17 points from 7 matches. Each has won 5, drawn 2 and lost 0. Bayern München lead on goal difference, +19 against +8. Both may play again before this fixture, so the table could look different by kick-off.

Bayern München: goals in volume

Bayern München have scored 25 and conceded 6 in the league, an average of 3.6 goals scored per match. They have scored in all but 14% of their games, and 86% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals.

Their last 5 matches brought 3 wins, 2 draws and no defeats, with 20 goals scored and 8 conceded. They beat 1. FC Magdeburg 6-1 and SC Freiburg 3-1, drew 2-2 with Arsenal, beat RB Leipzig 6-1 and drew 3-3 away to Viking. The expected goals figures were consistently ahead of those of their opponents, including 3.82 to 0.66 against Magdeburg.

Borussia Dortmund: tight at the back

Borussia Dortmund have scored 12 and conceded 4 in the league. They concede 0.6 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in 71% of their games. Only 43% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals.

Their last 5 matches brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded. They beat Werder Bremen 3-2 and Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 at home, won 2-1 away to Sabah FA, drew 0-0 away to Union Berlin and lost 1-0 away to Bodo/Glimt. Their expected goals figures were modest in most of those games, with the exception of 3.73 against Sabah FA.

Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings are narrowly in Bayern München's favour: 2 wins for the home side in the sequence, 1 for Borussia Dortmund and 2 draws.

• 28 February 2026: Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern München
• 18 October 2025: Bayern München 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
• 12 April 2025: Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
• 30 November 2024: Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayern München
• 30 March 2024: Bayern München 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Every one of those games produced at least 2 goals.

Outlook

No absences are reported for either side at the time of writing.

The contrast is clear. Bayern München have the more productive attack, while Borussia Dortmund have the tighter defensive record. With both unbeaten and level on points, the form points towards a close contest, and the recent head-to-head record suggests goals are likely to feature.