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Canadian Premier LeagueTested on past matches

Public ledger

Track Record

Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.

Live predictions

Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 4 matches

Hit rate

100.0%

+0.0 pt vs 100.0% baseline

2 hit · 0 missed

1X2

100.0%

+0.0 pt vs 100.0% baseline

1 hit · 0 missed

O/U 2.5

100.0%

+0.0 pt vs 100.0% baseline

1 hit · 0 missed

Picks settled

2

from 4 matches

6 markets skipped

  • Hit
  • Missed
  • Naive baseline
  • Markets we picked

Proof our picks weren't changed

Since 16 October 2026, every batch of picks is sealed minutes before kick-off with an independent timestamp authority and the Bitcoin blockchain. A pick marked “Sealed” can be checked by anyone.

The sealed record starts on 16 October 2026. Picks from before that date were logged before kick-off in our own database, but they were not sealed with an independent timestamp, so they carry no seal.

  • 1 match · 0 picksColombia Primera A
    Block 972237
    0f04de7ec1dcd64d45087ce4d7d3bc6fc68c85c4f8f2f9da22fb0ff734950c99Sealed before kick-offFreeTSA + DigiCert ·
  • 1 match · 0 picksArgentina Liga Profesional
    Block 972234
    ff7d1e4c02837ba3bc74d9da9f94e0322f47c6b29d6cd6072345c21b4560578bSealed before kick-offFreeTSA + DigiCert ·
  • 1 match · 0 picksBrazil Série A
    Block 972221
    49228c779363d4a7366986975efe9aecc1aefdb08c958cdd8d17220d41421a0aSealed before kick-offFreeTSA + DigiCert ·
All sealed batches and how to check them →

Tested on past matches

Calculated after the match with our current method and never published at the time. These rows are not in the live numbers above.

  • Forge — York United · Canadian Premier League
    5–0
    Forge1X2Hit
    Our %
    71%
    Closing odds
    —
    Confidence
    High
  • Forge — Pacific FC · Canadian Premier League
    3–0
    Forge1X2Hit
    Our %
    74%
    Closing odds
    —
    Confidence
    High
  • Forge — Pacific FC · Canadian Premier League
    2–0
    Forge1X2Hit
    Our %
    72%
    Closing odds
    —
    Confidence
    High
  • Atlético Ottawa — Vancouver FC · Canadian Premier League
    0–0
    Atlético Ottawa1X2Miss
    Our %
    73%
    Closing odds
    —
    Confidence
    High
  • Forge — Vancouver FC · Canadian Premier League
    1–1
    Forge1X2Miss
    Our %
    76%
    Closing odds
    —
    Confidence
    High
  • Atlético Ottawa — Vancouver FC · Canadian Premier League
    3–1
    Atlético Ottawa1X2Hit
    Our %
    71%
    Closing odds
    —
    Confidence
    High

Calibration

When our current method says 60%, does it happen 60% of the time? Each bar is what actually happened in that probability band; the line is the probability calculated after the match for these tested matches.

Tested on past matches — calculated after the match

471 probabilities · all markets, not only picks

Our probability vs actual hit rate
  • Actual hit rate
  • Our probability
Our probability vs actual hit rate
Probability bandOur probabilityActual hit ratePicks
30–40%37.3%35.7%14
40–50%45.0%43.6%62
50–60%54.0%58.6%345
60–70%64.2%70.5%44
70–80%72.8%66.7%6

Tested on 157 past matches since

What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.

Back to live picks

6 picks across 157 matches

Hit rate
66.7%
-0.0 pt vs baseline
1X2
66.7%
+0.0 pt vs baseline
O/U 2.5
—
No settled picks in this period

Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.