When and where is Watford vs Stoke City?

Watford vs Stoke City was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 1–2. The venue is Vicarage Road. It is a Championship fixture.

What is the recent form of Watford and Stoke City?

Watford: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–12 on goals. Stoke City: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 9–6 on goals.

Where are Watford and Stoke City in the table?

Watford are 20th with 11 points; Stoke City are 7th with 19.

Have Watford and Stoke City met recently?

Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Watford, 2 by Stoke City and 1 draw. The last one, on 12 Sept 2026, finished Watford 1–2 Stoke City.

How often do Watford and Stoke City matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 45% of Watford's matches and 73% of Stoke City's had three goals or more. Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match; Stoke City 1.6 and 1.5.

How often do Watford and Stoke City keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Watford kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Stoke City in 27% and 0%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Watford vs Stoke City?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Watford 1–2 Stoke City — 12 Sept 2026

Championship

Watford1–2

Stoke City

Vicarage Road

Our prediction

Low

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

WatfordStoke City

1.2Form rating2.2

0.80Goals scored (avg)1.70

1.80Goals conceded (avg)1.40

1.09xG for0.91

1.90xG against1.64

9.1%Clean sheet %27.3%

36.4%Failed to score %0.0%

45.5%Over 2.5 rate72.7%

Based on 11 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Watford
Stoke City

Expected goals trend
Matches	Watford	Stoke City
−10	0.65	0.93
−9	1.60	0.83
−8	0.88	0.58
−7	1.26	2.14
−6	1.26	0.75
−5	0.39	1.50
−4	0.52	0.65
−3	0.64	0.74
−2	1.46	0.65
−1	2.87	0.59

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Watford · 1st half	0.36
Watford · 2nd half	0.55
Stoke City · 1st half	1
Stoke City · 2nd half	0.64

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
4	Southampton	11	6	3	2	+11	21
5	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	+9	20
6	West Brom	11	6	2	3	+3	20
7	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Wolves	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	+1	15
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	-5	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	-11	6

What's next

Next for Watford

Next for Stoke City

Watford vs Stoke City: key facts and questions

When and where is Watford vs Stoke City?: Watford vs Stoke City was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 1–2. The venue is Vicarage Road. It is a Championship fixture.
What is the recent form of Watford and Stoke City?: Watford: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–12 on goals. Stoke City: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 9–6 on goals.
Where are Watford and Stoke City in the table?: Watford are 20th with 11 points; Stoke City are 7th with 19.
Have Watford and Stoke City met recently?: Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Watford, 2 by Stoke City and 1 draw. The last one, on 12 Sept 2026, finished Watford 1–2 Stoke City.
How often do Watford and Stoke City matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 45% of Watford's matches and 73% of Stoke City's had three goals or more. Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match; Stoke City 1.6 and 1.5.
How often do Watford and Stoke City keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Watford kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Stoke City in 27% and 0%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Watford vs Stoke City?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick