When and where is Watford vs Burnley?

Watford vs Burnley was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 0–4. The venue is Vicarage Road. It is a Championship fixture.

What is the recent form of Watford and Burnley?

Watford: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–12 on goals. Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–8 on goals.

Where are Watford and Burnley in the table?

Watford are 20th with 11 points; Burnley are 22nd with 8.

Have Watford and Burnley met recently?

Yes: 3 meetings on record — 0 won by Watford, 3 by Burnley and 0 draws. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Watford 0–4 Burnley.

How often do Watford and Burnley matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 45% of Watford's matches and 73% of Burnley's had three goals or more. Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match; Burnley 1.5 and 1.9.

How often do Watford and Burnley keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Watford kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Burnley in 9% and 0%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Watford vs Burnley?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Watford 0–4 Burnley — 10 Oct 2026

Championship

Watford0–4

Burnley

Vicarage Road

Our prediction

Low

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

WatfordBurnley

52%Possession48%
14Total shots17
6Shots on target8
6Corners2
8Fouls10
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Offsides5
450Passes423
88%Pass accuracy82%
4Saves6
0.64xG1.94

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

13′
J. Bruun LarsenGoal · Assist: R. Hatate
19′
Z. AmdouniGoal
25′
R. HatateGoal · Assist: Lucas Pires
I. Bravo ⇄ O. MaammaSubstitution
35′
S. Coulibaly ⇄ J. ZemuraSubstitution
46′
L. Kjerrumgaard ⇄ M. PayeroSubstitution
46′
A. Nabizada ⇄ M. BoaduSubstitution
60′
62′
Z. Amdouni ⇄ M. EdwardsSubstitution
63′
L. Ramazani ⇄ J. VardySubstitution
M. Doumbia ⇄ R. VataSubstitution
69′
74′
J. Bruun Larsen ⇄ D. SatpaevSubstitution
84′
M. Alleyne ⇄ A. BrojaSubstitution
87′
M. EdwardsGoal · Assist: Lucas Pires

Watford had 52% of the ball and 14 shots (6 on target); Burnley had 17 (8 on target). Corners: 6–2. Yellow cards: 0–0. Red cards: 0–0.

Team comparison

WatfordBurnley

1.2Form rating0.9

0.80Goals scored (avg)1.40

1.80Goals conceded (avg)1.90

1.09xG for1.23

1.90xG against1.60

9.1%Clean sheet %9.1%

36.4%Failed to score %0.0%

45.5%Over 2.5 rate72.7%

Based on 11 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Watford
Burnley

Expected goals trend
Matches	Watford	Burnley
−10	0.65	1.18
−9	1.60	1.38
−8	0.88	0.64
−7	1.26	0.26
−6	1.26	1.50
−5	0.39	1.73
−4	0.52	0.45
−3	0.64	1.94
−2	1.46	1.08
−1	2.87	1.07

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Watford · 1st half	0.36
Watford · 2nd half	0.55
Burnley · 1st half	0.82
Burnley · 2nd half	0.64

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	-5	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	-15	4

What's next

Next for Watford

Next for Burnley

Watford vs Burnley: key facts and questions

When and where is Watford vs Burnley?: Watford vs Burnley was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 0–4. The venue is Vicarage Road. It is a Championship fixture.
What is the recent form of Watford and Burnley?: Watford: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–12 on goals. Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–8 on goals.
Where are Watford and Burnley in the table?: Watford are 20th with 11 points; Burnley are 22nd with 8.
Have Watford and Burnley met recently?: Yes: 3 meetings on record — 0 won by Watford, 3 by Burnley and 0 draws. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Watford 0–4 Burnley.
How often do Watford and Burnley matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 45% of Watford's matches and 73% of Burnley's had three goals or more. Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match; Burnley 1.5 and 1.9.
How often do Watford and Burnley keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Watford kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Burnley in 9% and 0%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Watford vs Burnley?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick

Our prediction