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Vitoria vs Gremio prediction and preview — Brazil Série A

Brazil Série AElite
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Vitoria1–0Gremio

Estádio Manoel Barradas

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Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Vitoria vs Gremio: key facts and questions

When and where is Vitoria vs Gremio?
Vitoria vs Gremio was played on Monday, September 7, 2026 at 23:00 UTC and finished 1–0. The venue is Estádio Manoel Barradas. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Vitoria and Gremio?
Vitoria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–7 on goals. Gremio: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–9 on goals.
Where are Vitoria and Gremio in the table?
Vitoria are 14th with 36 points; Gremio are 18th with 31.
Have Vitoria and Gremio met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by Vitoria, 2 by Gremio and 2 draws. The last one, on 7 Sept 2026, finished Vitoria 1–0 Gremio.
How often do Vitoria and Gremio matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 43% of Vitoria's matches and 45% of Gremio's had three goals or more. Vitoria average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match; Gremio 1.1 and 1.4.
How often do Vitoria and Gremio keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Vitoria kept a clean sheet in 37% of their matches and failed to score in 30%; Gremio in 19% and 32%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Vitoria vs Gremio?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick