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Toulouse vs Lille prediction and preview — Ligue 1

Ligue 1
Full timeFull time
Toulouse0–1Lille

Stadium Municipal

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Toulouse vs Lille: key facts and questions

When and where is Toulouse vs Lille?
Toulouse vs Lille was played on Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 18:45 UTC and finished 0–1. The venue is Stadium Municipal. It is a Ligue 1 fixture.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Lille?
Toulouse: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 10–7 on goals. Lille: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–6 on goals.
Where are Toulouse and Lille in the table?
Toulouse are 11th with 9 points; Lille are 4th with 14.
Have Toulouse and Lille met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 0 won by Toulouse, 5 by Lille and 0 draws. The last one, on 3 Sept 2026, finished Toulouse 0–1 Lille.
How often do Toulouse and Lille matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 71% of Toulouse's matches and 29% of Lille's had three goals or more. Toulouse average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match; Lille 1.4 and 0.7.
How often do Toulouse and Lille keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Toulouse kept a clean sheet in 14% of their matches and failed to score in 29%; Lille in 57% and 0%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Toulouse vs Lille?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick