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Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction and preview — MLS

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Toronto FC2–1CF Montreal

BMO Field

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

Toronto FCCF Montreal
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 14Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 8Corners6
  • 9Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides2
  • 352Passes341
  • 77%Pass accuracy75%
  • 6Saves3
  • 1.61xG1.54

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. L. Gavran ⇄ W. YarbroughSubstitution
    23′
  2. 51′
    D. RiosGoal
  3. 55′
    Brayan VeraYellow card
  4. J. Osorio ⇄ D. MihailovicSubstitution
    61′
  5. 72′
    V. Loturi ⇄ S. PietteSubstitution
  6. 72′
    A. Sanchez ⇄ F. HerbersSubstitution
  7. A. Coello ⇄ L. MorganSubstitution
    82′
  8. 84′
    Brandan CraigYellow card
  9. 86′
    B. Craig ⇄ E. MoralesSubstitution
  10. 86′
    D. Rios ⇄ W. CarmonaSubstitution
  11. 87′
    Luca PetrassoYellow card
  12. L. MorganGoal · Assist: N. Dorsch
    90′
  13. D. MihailovicGoal · Assist: T. Corbeanu
    90′
  14. Richie LaryeaYellow card
    90+6′

Toronto FC had 52% of the ball and 14 shots (5 on target); CF Montreal had 16 (7 on target). Corners: 8–6. Yellow cards: 1–3. Red cards: 0–0.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal: key facts and questions

When and where is Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:00 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is BMO Field. It is a MLS fixture.
What is the recent form of Toronto FC and CF Montreal?
Toronto FC: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 8–9 on goals. CF Montreal: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–9 on goals.
Where are Toronto FC and CF Montreal in the table?
Toronto FC are 18th with 36 points; CF Montreal are 29th with 25.
Have Toronto FC and CF Montreal met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 3 won by Toronto FC, 0 by CF Montreal and 2 draws. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal.
How often do Toronto FC and CF Montreal matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 67% of Toronto FC's matches and 63% of CF Montreal's had three goals or more. Toronto FC average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; CF Montreal 1.2 and 2.0.
How often do Toronto FC and CF Montreal keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Toronto FC kept a clean sheet in 13% of their matches and failed to score in 17%; CF Montreal in 13% and 37%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick