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Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers prediction and preview — MLS

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Sporting Kansas City3–3Portland Timbers

Children's Mercy Park

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 12Total shots9
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 6Corners1
  • 17Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 439Passes547
  • 88%Pass accuracy88%
  • 2Saves2
  • 1.85xG1.54

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 10′
    D. Da CostaGoal · Assist: A. Lassiter
  2. 12′
    Vincent JanssenYellow card
  3. 45′
    V. JanssenPenalty goal
  4. Andre LuizGoal
    45′
  5. 45+1′
    Kristoffer VeldeVAR review
  6. André LuizMissed penalty
    45+7′
  7. 63′
    V. Janssen ⇄ AntonySubstitution
  8. 64′
    D. Chara ⇄ J. CaicedoSubstitution
  9. 64′
    A. LassiterGoal · Assist: J. Fory
  10. J. ReynoldsGoal · Assist: T. Calheira
    70′
  11. J. Reynolds ⇄ I. JamesSubstitution
    71′
  12. S. Afrifa ⇄ R. RamosSubstitution
    71′
  13. T. Calheira ⇄ S. ReidSubstitution
    72′
  14. Andre LuizGoal · Assist: S. Reid
    73′
  15. 75′
    J. Ortiz ⇄ E. IzoitaSubstitution
  16. Z. Bassong ⇄ J. BartlettSubstitution
    79′
  17. Andre Luiz ⇄ S. SuleymanovSubstitution
    82′
  18. 87′
    A. Lassiter ⇄ I. SmithSubstitution
  19. 87′
    K. Velde ⇄ A. AravenaSubstitution

Sporting Kansas City had 45% of the ball and 12 shots (5 on target); Portland Timbers had 9 (5 on target). Corners: 6–1. Yellow cards: 0–1. Red cards: 0–0.

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers: key facts and questions

When and where is Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 00:30 UTC and finished 3–3. The venue is Children's Mercy Park. It is a MLS fixture.
What is the recent form of Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers?
Sporting Kansas City: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 7–12 on goals. Portland Timbers: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–9 on goals.
Where are Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers in the table?
Sporting Kansas City are 30th with 22 points; Portland Timbers are 24th with 34.
Have Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 0 won by Sporting Kansas City, 4 by Portland Timbers and 1 draw. The last one, on 11 Oct 2026, finished Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers.
How often do Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 80% of Sporting Kansas City's matches and 70% of Portland Timbers's had three goals or more. Sporting Kansas City average 1.2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match; Portland Timbers 1.7 and 1.9.
How often do Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Sporting Kansas City kept a clean sheet in 3% of their matches and failed to score in 33%; Portland Timbers in 7% and 23%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick