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Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction and preview — Championship

Championship
Full timeFull time
Southampton1–0Portsmouth

St. Mary's Stadium

Our prediction

Medium
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

SouthamptonPortsmouth
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 7Total shots16
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 2Corners4
  • 11Fouls15
  • 5Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 402Passes371
  • 82%Pass accuracy82%
  • 3Saves2
  • 1.28xG1.18

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. J. BreeGoal · Assist: F. Azaz
    20′
  2. Cameron BraggYellow card
    32′
  3. 34′
    Ebou AdamsYellow card
  4. Cameron BraggYellow card
    44′
  5. Cameron BraggRed card
    44′
  6. 46′
    R. Kavuma McQueen ⇄ A. SegecicSubstitution
  7. Cyle LarinYellow card
    51′
  8. Finn AzazYellow card
    53′
  9. 53′
    Jayden MeghomaYellow card
  10. L. Scienza ⇄ K. MatsukiSubstitution
    57′
  11. 65′
    E. Adams ⇄ O. BaileySubstitution
  12. 65′
    J. Meghoma ⇄ T. DevlinSubstitution
  13. 65′
    C. Bishop ⇄ MareziSubstitution
  14. 69′
    Terry DevlinYellow card
  15. C. Larin ⇄ C. JanderSubstitution
    72′
  16. 77′
    Z. Swanson ⇄ K. AndersonSubstitution
  17. Keven SchlotterbeckYellow card
    82′

Southampton had 51% of the ball and 7 shots (3 on target); Portsmouth had 16 (3 on target). Corners: 2–4. Yellow cards: 5–3. Red cards: 1–0.

Southampton vs Portsmouth: key facts and questions

When and where is Southampton vs Portsmouth?
Southampton vs Portsmouth was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 11:00 UTC and finished 1–0. The venue is St. Mary's Stadium. It is a Championship fixture.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Portsmouth?
Southampton: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 7–3 on goals. Portsmouth: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 6–5 on goals.
Where are Southampton and Portsmouth in the table?
Southampton are 4th with 21 points; Portsmouth are 13th with 14.
Have Southampton and Portsmouth met recently?
Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Southampton, 0 by Portsmouth and 2 draws. The last one, on 11 Oct 2026, finished Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth.
How often do Southampton and Portsmouth matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 55% of Southampton's matches and 50% of Portsmouth's had three goals or more. Southampton average 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match; Portsmouth 1.3 and 1.3.
How often do Southampton and Portsmouth keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Southampton kept a clean sheet in 27% of their matches and failed to score in 9%; Portsmouth in 30% and 30%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Southampton vs Portsmouth?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick