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Santos vs Flamengo prediction and preview — Brazil Série A

Brazil Série AElite
Full timeFull time
Santos2–2Flamengo

Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

SantosFlamengo
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 16Total shots12
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 5Corners5
  • 16Fouls15
  • 6Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Offsides0
  • 393Passes488
  • 3Saves2
  • 2.42xG1.15

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. Gonzalo EscobarYellow card
    12′
  2. GustavinhoYellow card
    34′
  3. Álvaro BarrealYellow card
    36′
  4. 41′
    Pedro GuilhermeYellow card
  5. 43′
    DaniloGoal · Assist: Pedro Guilherme
  6. 45+4′
    Lucas PaquetáGoal · Assist: Jorge Carrascal
  7. Philippe Coutinho ⇄ NeymarSubstitution
    46′
  8. Álvaro Barreal ⇄ RonySubstitution
    46′
  9. NeymarYellow card
    53′
  10. 55′
    Lucas PaquetáYellow card
  11. Christian OlivaYellow card
    57′
  12. RodineiYellow card
    61′
  13. Gustavinho ⇄ Benjamín RollheiserSubstitution
    66′
  14. Gonzalo Escobar ⇄ Luan PeresSubstitution
    69′
  15. 69′
    Lucas Paquetá ⇄ Saúl ÑíguezSubstitution
  16. 69′
    Jorge Carrascal ⇄ Gonzalo PlataSubstitution
  17. RonyVAR review
    72′
  18. 79′
    JorginhoRed card
  19. 81′
    Pedro Guilherme ⇄ Bruno HenriqueSubstitution
  20. 81′
    Samuel Lino ⇄ Luiz AraújoSubstitution
  21. NeymarPenalty goal
    82′
  22. 85′
    Bruno HenriqueYellow card
  23. NeymarPenalty goal
    88′
  24. 90+1′
    Emerson RoyalYellow card

Santos had 45% of the ball and 16 shots (4 on target); Flamengo had 12 (6 on target). Corners: 5–5. Yellow cards: 6–4. Red cards: 0–1.

Santos vs Flamengo: key facts and questions

When and where is Santos vs Flamengo?
Santos vs Flamengo was played on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 22:30 UTC and finished 2–2. The venue is Estádio Urbano Caldeira. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Santos and Flamengo?
Santos: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 9–7 on goals. Flamengo: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 8–3 on goals.
Where are Santos and Flamengo in the table?
Santos are 8th with 45 points; Flamengo are 1st with 67.
Have Santos and Flamengo met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Santos, 2 by Flamengo and 1 draw. The last one, on 8 Oct 2026, finished Santos 2–2 Flamengo.
How often do Santos and Flamengo matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 68% of Santos's matches and 61% of Flamengo's had three goals or more. Santos average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match; Flamengo 2.0 and 0.8.
How often do Santos and Flamengo keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Santos kept a clean sheet in 19% of their matches and failed to score in 10%; Flamengo in 45% and 6%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Santos vs Flamengo?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick