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Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon prediction and preview — League One

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Plymouth2–1AFC Wimbledon

Home Park

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

PlymouthAFC Wimbledon
  • 55%Possession45%
  • 18Total shots14
  • 8Shots on target5
  • 4Corners9
  • 10Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides0
  • 378Passes305
  • 4Saves6
  • 1.72xG0.98

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 16′
    J. StockleyGoal · Assist: C. Maycock
  2. 17′
    I. Ogundere ⇄ F. SimmondsSubstitution
  3. C. WattsGoal
    25′
  4. J. Edwards ⇄ M. SorinolaSubstitution
    30′
  5. O. Irow ⇄ X. AmaechiSubstitution
    65′
  6. 76′
    C. Maycock ⇄ M. BrowneSubstitution
  7. C. Watts ⇄ T. BakinsonSubstitution
    77′
  8. 77′
    O. Harrison ⇄ Z. NelsonSubstitution
  9. W. Harding ⇄ A. HartridgeSubstitution
    78′
  10. X. AmaechiGoal · Assist: A. Hartridge
    90′
  11. 90+1′
    A. Sasu ⇄ S. SessegnonSubstitution
  12. Matthew SorinolaYellow card
    90+6′

Plymouth had 55% of the ball and 18 shots (8 on target); AFC Wimbledon had 14 (5 on target). Corners: 4–9. Yellow cards: 1–0. Red cards: 0–0.

Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon: key facts and questions

When and where is Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:30 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is Home Park. It is a League One fixture.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 8–6 on goals. AFC Wimbledon: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 3–8 on goals.
Where are Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon in the table?
Plymouth are 4th with 19 points; AFC Wimbledon are 15th with 12.
Have Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon met recently?
Yes: 3 meetings on record — 2 won by Plymouth, 1 by AFC Wimbledon and 0 draws. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon.
How often do Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 45% of Plymouth's matches and 40% of AFC Wimbledon's had three goals or more. Plymouth average 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match; AFC Wimbledon 0.7 and 1.5.
How often do Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Plymouth kept a clean sheet in 27% of their matches and failed to score in 27%; AFC Wimbledon in 50% and 40%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick