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Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction and preview — Brazil Série A

Brazil Série AElite
Full timeFull time
Palmeiras1–0Bahia

Nubank Parque

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Medium
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

PalmeirasBahia
  • 41%Possession59%
  • 25Total shots10
  • 11Shots on target1
  • 7Corners3
  • 9Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 362Passes541
  • 83%Pass accuracy90%
  • 1Saves10
  • 1.79xG0.52

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. José Manuel LópezGoal · Assist: Alexander Barboza
    7′
  2. 61′
    Nicolás AcevedoYellow card
  3. KhellvenYellow card
    64′
  4. 65′
    Rodrigo Nestor ⇄ ErickSubstitution
  5. 65′
    Nicolás Acevedo ⇄ Caio AlexandreSubstitution
  6. 65′
    Erick Pulga ⇄ AdemirSubstitution
  7. José Manuel López ⇄ Jhon AriasSubstitution
    69′
  8. Vitor Roque ⇄ Ramón SosaSubstitution
    69′
  9. 82′
    Alejo Véliz ⇄ Willian JoséSubstitution
  10. 82′
    Cristian Olivera ⇄ Mateo SanabriaSubstitution
  11. 87′
    Jean LucasYellow card
  12. Andreas Pereira ⇄ Felipe AndersonSubstitution
    87′

Palmeiras had 41% of the ball and 25 shots (11 on target); Bahia had 10 (1 on target). Corners: 7–3. Yellow cards: 1–2. Red cards: 0–0.

Palmeiras vs Bahia: key facts and questions

When and where is Palmeiras vs Bahia?
Palmeiras vs Bahia was played on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 00:30 UTC and finished 1–0. The venue is Nubank Parque. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Palmeiras and Bahia?
Palmeiras: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–2 on goals. Bahia: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–7 on goals.
Where are Palmeiras and Bahia in the table?
Palmeiras are 2nd with 66 points; Bahia are 7th with 49.
Have Palmeiras and Bahia met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 3 won by Palmeiras, 2 by Bahia and 0 draws. The last one, on 9 Oct 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia.
How often do Palmeiras and Bahia matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 48% of Palmeiras's matches and 52% of Bahia's had three goals or more. Palmeiras average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match; Bahia 1.4 and 1.3.
How often do Palmeiras and Bahia keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Palmeiras kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches and failed to score in 13%; Bahia in 29% and 16%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Palmeiras vs Bahia?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick