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New York Red Bulls vs San Diego prediction and preview — MLS

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New York Red Bulls4–1San Diego

Sports Illustrated Stadium

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Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

New York Red BullsSan Diego
  • 37%Possession63%
  • 28Total shots14
  • 12Shots on target5
  • 4Corners7
  • 20Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 348Passes576
  • 76%Pass accuracy80%
  • 4Saves8
  • 4.16xG2.12

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. J. HallGoal · Assist: J. Ruvalcaba
    16′
  2. D. PadelfordGoal · Assist: C. Cowell
    20′
  3. J. RuvalcabaGoal · Assist: R. Donkor
    27′
  4. 30′
    Jeppe TverskovYellow card
  5. Julián BazánYellow card
    42′
  6. 44′
    Anders DreyerMissed penalty
  7. 46′
    J. Tverskov ⇄ A. Alvarado JrSubstitution
  8. 46′
    M. Ingvartsen ⇄ C. BakambuSubstitution
  9. 55′
    Manu DuahYellow card
  10. 60′
    C. BakambuGoal
  11. 62′
    I. Murphy ⇄ C. McVeySubstitution
  12. 62′
    Gabriel Pirani ⇄ D. NyangonoSubstitution
  13. J. Che ⇄ T. ParkerSubstitution
    63′
  14. R. Donkor ⇄ S. KoneSubstitution
    72′
  15. C. Cowell ⇄ E. M. Choupo-MotingSubstitution
    72′
  16. M. Sofo ⇄ E. ForsbergSubstitution
    72′
  17. J. Ruvalcaba ⇄ J. Marshall-RuttySubstitution
    81′
  18. 81′
    E. Achouri ⇄ A. PellegrinoSubstitution
  19. Devin PadelfordYellow card
    82′
  20. 85′
    Kieran SargeantYellow card
  21. D. Padelford ⇄ M. Dos SantosSubstitution
    88′
  22. E. M. Choupo-MotingGoal · Assist: M. Dos Santos
    90′
  23. 90+2′
    A. Godoy ⇄ O. ValakariSubstitution

New York Red Bulls had 37% of the ball and 28 shots (12 on target); San Diego had 14 (5 on target). Corners: 4–7. Yellow cards: 2–3. Red cards: 0–0.

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: key facts and questions

When and where is New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 23:30 UTC and finished 4–1. The venue is Sports Illustrated Stadium. It is a MLS fixture.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and San Diego?
New York Red Bulls: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–8 on goals. San Diego: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 11–14 on goals.
Where are New York Red Bulls and San Diego in the table?
New York Red Bulls are 20th with 36 points; San Diego are 23rd with 34.
Have New York Red Bulls and San Diego met recently?
Yes: 1 meeting on record — 1 won by New York Red Bulls, 0 by San Diego and 0 draws. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego.
How often do New York Red Bulls and San Diego matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 57% of New York Red Bulls's matches and 70% of San Diego's had three goals or more. New York Red Bulls average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match; San Diego 1.8 and 1.9.
How often do New York Red Bulls and San Diego keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
New York Red Bulls kept a clean sheet in 13% of their matches and failed to score in 30%; San Diego in 23% and 17%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick