When and where is Nacional vs Alverca?

Nacional vs Alverca was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 14:30 UTC and finished 1–3. The venue is Estádio da Madeira. It is a Liga Portugal fixture.

What is the recent form of Nacional and Alverca?

Nacional: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in the last 5 matches, 3–13 on goals. Alverca: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–6 on goals.

Where are Nacional and Alverca in the table?

Nacional are 16th with 4 points; Alverca are 7th with 11.

Have Nacional and Alverca met recently?

Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Nacional, 2 by Alverca and 0 draws. The last one, on 12 Sept 2026, finished Nacional 1–3 Alverca.

How often do Nacional and Alverca matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 63% of Nacional's matches and 63% of Alverca's had three goals or more. Nacional average 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match; Alverca 1.6 and 1.5.

How often do Nacional and Alverca keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Nacional kept a clean sheet in 13% of their matches and failed to score in 38%; Alverca in 13% and 13%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Nacional vs Alverca?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Nacional 1–3 Alverca — 12 Sept 2026

Liga PortugalElite

Nacional1–3

Alverca

Estádio da Madeira

Our prediction

Low

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

NacionalAlverca

0.0Form rating2.5

1.13Goals scored (avg)1.63

2.25Goals conceded (avg)1.50

1.15xG for1.60

1.89xG against1.58

12.5%Clean sheet %12.5%

37.5%Failed to score %12.5%

62.5%Over 2.5 rate62.5%

Based on 8 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Nacional
Alverca

Expected goals trend
Matches	Nacional	Alverca
−8	1.23	1.60
−7	2.03	1.94
−6	0.42	0.41
−5	0.83	0.41
−4	0.08	1.08
−3	2.20	1.16
−2	1.23	3.30
−1	1.21	2.92

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Nacional · 1st half	0.5
Nacional · 2nd half	0.63
Alverca · 1st half	0.75
Alverca · 2nd half	0.88

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	+8	18
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Alverca	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	GIL Vicente	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	SC Braga	7	3	2	2	0	11
10	Estrela	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Famalicao	8	1	4	3	-1	7
14	Rio Ave	8	2	1	5	-9	7
15	Vitória SC	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	-9	4
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	-14	4
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	-8	2

What's next

Next for Nacional

Next for Alverca

Nacional vs Alverca: key facts and questions

When and where is Nacional vs Alverca?: Nacional vs Alverca was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 14:30 UTC and finished 1–3. The venue is Estádio da Madeira. It is a Liga Portugal fixture.
What is the recent form of Nacional and Alverca?: Nacional: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in the last 5 matches, 3–13 on goals. Alverca: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–6 on goals.
Where are Nacional and Alverca in the table?: Nacional are 16th with 4 points; Alverca are 7th with 11.
Have Nacional and Alverca met recently?: Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Nacional, 2 by Alverca and 0 draws. The last one, on 12 Sept 2026, finished Nacional 1–3 Alverca.
How often do Nacional and Alverca matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 63% of Nacional's matches and 63% of Alverca's had three goals or more. Nacional average 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match; Alverca 1.6 and 1.5.
How often do Nacional and Alverca keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Nacional kept a clean sheet in 13% of their matches and failed to score in 38%; Alverca in 13% and 13%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Nacional vs Alverca?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick