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Montpellier vs PAU prediction and preview — Ligue 2

Ligue 2Elite
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Montpellier1–0PAU

Stade de la Mosson

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Medium
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Montpellier vs PAU: key facts and questions

When and where is Montpellier vs PAU?
Montpellier vs PAU was played on Friday, September 11, 2026 at 18:00 UTC and finished 1–0. The venue is Stade de la Mosson. It is a Ligue 2 fixture.
What is the recent form of Montpellier and PAU?
Montpellier: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 5–4 on goals. PAU: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 8–5 on goals.
Where are Montpellier and PAU in the table?
Montpellier are 5th with 15 points; PAU are 6th with 14.
Have Montpellier and PAU met recently?
Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Montpellier, 1 by PAU and 1 draw. The last one, on 11 Sept 2026, finished Montpellier 1–0 PAU.
How often do Montpellier and PAU matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 13% of Montpellier's matches and 33% of PAU's had three goals or more. Montpellier average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match; PAU 1.2 and 1.0.
How often do Montpellier and PAU keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Montpellier kept a clean sheet in 63% of their matches and failed to score in 13%; PAU in 22% and 33%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Montpellier vs PAU?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick