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Leeds vs Newcastle prediction and preview — Premier League

Premier League
Full timeFull time
Leeds4–1Newcastle

Elland Road

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Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Leeds vs Newcastle: key facts and questions

When and where is Leeds vs Newcastle?
Leeds vs Newcastle was played on Monday, September 14, 2026 at 19:00 UTC and finished 4–1. The venue is Elland Road. It is a Premier League fixture.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Newcastle?
Leeds: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–10 on goals. Newcastle: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–10 on goals.
Where are Leeds and Newcastle in the table?
Leeds are 7th with 10 points; Newcastle are 11th with 8.
Have Leeds and Newcastle met recently?
Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Leeds, 1 by Newcastle and 1 draw. The last one, on 14 Sept 2026, finished Leeds 4–1 Newcastle.
How often do Leeds and Newcastle matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 29% of Leeds's matches and 71% of Newcastle's had three goals or more. Leeds average 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match; Newcastle 1.4 and 2.0.
How often do Leeds and Newcastle keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Leeds kept a clean sheet in 29% of their matches and failed to score in 14%; Newcastle in 14% and 14%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Leeds vs Newcastle?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick