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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction and preview — Bundesliga

Bundesliga
Full timeFull time
Hamburger SV0–5FSV Mainz 05

Volksparkstadion

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: key facts and questions

When and where is Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 was played on Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 13:30 UTC and finished 0–5. The venue is Volksparkstadion. It is a Bundesliga fixture.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?
Hamburger SV: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–13 on goals. FSV Mainz 05: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 14–10 on goals.
Where are Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 in the table?
Hamburger SV are 9th with 9 points; FSV Mainz 05 are 5th with 10.
Have Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 met recently?
Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Hamburger SV, 1 by FSV Mainz 05 and 1 draw. The last one, on 6 Sept 2026, finished Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05.
How often do Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 67% of Hamburger SV's matches and 67% of FSV Mainz 05's had three goals or more. Hamburger SV average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match; FSV Mainz 05 2.3 and 1.7.
How often do Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Hamburger SV kept a clean sheet in 17% of their matches and failed to score in 50%; FSV Mainz 05 in 50% and 17%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick