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Fluminense vs Coritiba prediction and preview — Brazil Série A

Brazil Série AElite
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Fluminense4–0Coritiba

Estádio do Maracanã

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High
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

FluminenseCoritiba
  • 68%Possession32%
  • 22Total shots8
  • 10Shots on target0
  • 3Corners2
  • 9Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 864Passes398
  • 93%Pass accuracy86%
  • 0Saves6
  • 1.77xG1.54

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 24′
    Jacy Maranhão ⇄ Rodrigo MoledoSubstitution
  2. Jefferson SavarinoGoal · Assist: Hulk
    30′
  3. Jefferson SavarinoGoal · Assist: Thiago Silva
    49′
  4. Ganso ⇄ Luciano AcostaSubstitution
    62′
  5. 62′
    Pedro Rocha ⇄ Paulo RobertoSubstitution
  6. 62′
    Breno Lopes ⇄ FabinhoSubstitution
  7. Jefferson SavarinoGoal · Assist: Kevin Serna
    65′
  8. 74′
    Fabricio Bustos ⇄ Vini PaulistaSubstitution
  9. 74′
    Nicolas Fonseca ⇄ TingaSubstitution
  10. Jefferson Savarino ⇄ Rodrigo CastilloSubstitution
    79′
  11. Guga ⇄ Samuel XavierSubstitution
    79′
  12. Hércules ⇄ OtávioSubstitution
    79′
  13. 86′
    Bruno MeloYellow card
  14. Hulk ⇄ Wesley NatãSubstitution
    89′
  15. Luciano AcostaGoal · Assist: Wesley Natã
    90+3′

Fluminense had 68% of the ball and 22 shots (10 on target); Coritiba had 8 (0 on target). Corners: 3–2. Yellow cards: 0–1. Red cards: 0–0.

Fluminense vs Coritiba: key facts and questions

When and where is Fluminense vs Coritiba?
Fluminense vs Coritiba was played on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 00:30 UTC and finished 4–0. The venue is Estádio do Maracanã. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Fluminense and Coritiba?
Fluminense: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–6 on goals. Coritiba: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–14 on goals.
Where are Fluminense and Coritiba in the table?
Fluminense are 4th with 51 points; Coritiba are 12th with 39.
Have Fluminense and Coritiba met recently?
Yes: 4 meetings on record — 2 won by Fluminense, 1 by Coritiba and 1 draw. The last one, on 9 Oct 2026, finished Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba.
How often do Fluminense and Coritiba matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 55% of Fluminense's matches and 52% of Coritiba's had three goals or more. Fluminense average 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match; Coritiba 1.2 and 1.6.
How often do Fluminense and Coritiba keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Fluminense kept a clean sheet in 19% of their matches and failed to score in 13%; Coritiba in 19% and 32%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Fluminense vs Coritiba?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick