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Derby vs Wrexham prediction and preview — Championship

Championship
Full timeFull time
Derby1–1Wrexham

Pride Park Stadium

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

DerbyWrexham
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 10Total shots13
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 1Corners8
  • 10Fouls6
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 397Passes469
  • 76%Pass accuracy80%
  • 2Saves3
  • 0.60xG1.46

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. Sondre LangåsYellow card
    5′
  2. S. SzmodicsGoal · Assist: M. Fuseini
    9′
  3. 15′
    J. Windass ⇄ O. RathboneSubstitution
  4. Ryan HedgesYellow card
    52′
  5. 64′
    I. Kabore ⇄ D. ImraySubstitution
  6. 64′
    L. O'Brien ⇄ S. SmithSubstitution
  7. 71′
    Oliver RathboneYellow card
  8. M. Fuseini ⇄ H. MeisterSubstitution
    72′
  9. S. Szmodics ⇄ R. BrewsterSubstitution
    72′
  10. Alex MowattYellow card
    74′
  11. B. Clark ⇄ O. FrauloSubstitution
    84′
  12. C. Morris ⇄ L. SalvesenSubstitution
    84′
  13. 85′
    Z. Vyner ⇄ G. DobsonSubstitution
  14. 85′
    J. Ekomie ⇄ R. LongmanSubstitution
  15. 88′
    O. RathboneGoal · Assist: K. Moore
  16. 90+1′
    Kieffer MooreYellow card

Derby had 45% of the ball and 10 shots (4 on target); Wrexham had 13 (3 on target). Corners: 1–8. Yellow cards: 3–2. Red cards: 0–0.

Derby vs Wrexham: key facts and questions

When and where is Derby vs Wrexham?
Derby vs Wrexham was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 1–1. The venue is Pride Park Stadium. It is a Championship fixture.
What is the recent form of Derby and Wrexham?
Derby: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–9 on goals. Wrexham: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 8–11 on goals.
Where are Derby and Wrexham in the table?
Derby are 23rd with 6 points; Wrexham are 14th with 14.
Have Derby and Wrexham met recently?
Yes: 3 meetings on record — 0 won by Derby, 1 by Wrexham and 2 draws. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Derby 1–1 Wrexham.
How often do Derby and Wrexham matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 55% of Derby's matches and 55% of Wrexham's had three goals or more. Derby average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; Wrexham 1.4 and 1.5.
How often do Derby and Wrexham keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Derby kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Wrexham in 18% and 18%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Derby vs Wrexham?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick