When and where is Derby vs Birmingham?

Derby vs Birmingham was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 11:30 UTC and finished 1–2. The venue is Pride Park Stadium. It is a Championship fixture.

What is the recent form of Derby and Birmingham?

Derby: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–9 on goals. Birmingham: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 12–3 on goals.

Where are Derby and Birmingham in the table?

Derby are 23rd with 6 points; Birmingham are 5th with 20.

Have Derby and Birmingham met recently?

Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Derby, 1 by Birmingham and 1 draw. The last one, on 12 Sept 2026, finished Derby 1–2 Birmingham.

How often do Derby and Birmingham matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 55% of Derby's matches and 73% of Birmingham's had three goals or more. Derby average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; Birmingham 1.8 and 1.0.

How often do Derby and Birmingham keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Derby kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Birmingham in 36% and 9%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Derby vs Birmingham?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Derby 1–2 Birmingham — 12 Sept 2026

Championship

Derby1–2

Birmingham

Pride Park Stadium

Our prediction

Low

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

DerbyBirmingham

0.3Form rating2.8

0.80Goals scored (avg)2.00

1.80Goals conceded (avg)1.10

0.95xG for1.74

1.65xG against1.25

9.1%Clean sheet %36.4%

36.4%Failed to score %9.1%

54.5%Over 2.5 rate72.7%

Based on 11 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Derby
Birmingham

Expected goals trend
Matches	Derby	Birmingham
−10	1.62	1.98
−9	0.70	1.62
−8	0.55	1.55
−7	0.11	1.39
−6	1.27	1.63
−5	1.11	3.17
−4	1.75	1.23
−3	0.60	2.55
−2	0.86	2.24
−1	0.99	1.30

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Derby · 1st half	0.45
Derby · 2nd half	0.36
Birmingham · 1st half	0.91
Birmingham · 2nd half	0.91

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
2	West Ham	11	6	4	1	+18	22
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	+6	22
4	Southampton	11	6	3	2	+11	21
5	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	+9	20
6	West Brom	11	6	2	3	+3	20
7	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Wolves	10	5	2	3	+3	17
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	-15	4

What's next

Next for Derby

Next for Birmingham

Derby vs Birmingham: key facts and questions

When and where is Derby vs Birmingham?: Derby vs Birmingham was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 11:30 UTC and finished 1–2. The venue is Pride Park Stadium. It is a Championship fixture.
What is the recent form of Derby and Birmingham?: Derby: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–9 on goals. Birmingham: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 12–3 on goals.
Where are Derby and Birmingham in the table?: Derby are 23rd with 6 points; Birmingham are 5th with 20.
Have Derby and Birmingham met recently?: Yes: 3 meetings on record — 1 won by Derby, 1 by Birmingham and 1 draw. The last one, on 12 Sept 2026, finished Derby 1–2 Birmingham.
How often do Derby and Birmingham matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 55% of Derby's matches and 73% of Birmingham's had three goals or more. Derby average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; Birmingham 1.8 and 1.0.
How often do Derby and Birmingham keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Derby kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 36%; Birmingham in 36% and 9%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Derby vs Birmingham?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick