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Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction and preview — Brazil Série A

Brazil Série AElite
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Cruzeiro2–0Sao Paulo

Estádio Mineirão

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Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

CruzeiroSao Paulo
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 23Total shots19
  • 9Shots on target3
  • 8Corners8
  • 12Fouls20
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 469Passes389
  • 3Saves7

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 21′
    WendellYellow card
  2. Gabriel RojasYellow card
    24′
  3. Kaio JorgeGoal · Assist: Matheus Pereira
    44′
  4. Lucas Romer ⇄ Zé LucasSubstitution
    45′
  5. 45′
    Jose Monteiro ⇄ Aldemir FerreiraSubstitution
  6. Zé LucasGoal
    57′
  7. Gabriel Rojas ⇄ Matías ViñaSubstitution
    58′
  8. 63′
    Aldemir Ferreira ⇄ Victor SáSubstitution
  9. 64′
    Pablo Maia ⇄ Pedro FerreiraSubstitution
  10. 64′
    Marcos Antonio ⇄ NewtonSubstitution
  11. Bruno Rodrigues ⇄ Keny arroyoSubstitution
    68′
  12. Matheus PereiraYellow card
    72′
  13. 78′
    Damian Bobadilla ⇄ Djhordney FerreiraSubstitution
  14. Kaio Jorge ⇄ Matheus HenriqueSubstitution
    85′
  15. Gerson ⇄ Luciano RodríguezSubstitution
    85′

Cruzeiro had 54% of the ball and 23 shots (9 on target); Sao Paulo had 19 (3 on target). Corners: 8–8. Yellow cards: 2–1. Red cards: 0–0.

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo: key facts and questions

When and where is Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo was played on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 00:30 UTC and finished 2–0. The venue is Estádio Mineirão. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo?
Cruzeiro: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 12–9 on goals. Sao Paulo: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–5 on goals.
Where are Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo in the table?
Cruzeiro are 5th with 51 points; Sao Paulo are 9th with 42.
Have Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Cruzeiro, 2 by Sao Paulo and 1 draw. The last one, on 8 Oct 2026, finished Cruzeiro 2–0 Sao Paulo.
How often do Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 68% of Cruzeiro's matches and 39% of Sao Paulo's had three goals or more. Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match; Sao Paulo 1.2 and 1.1.
How often do Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Cruzeiro kept a clean sheet in 19% of their matches and failed to score in 13%; Sao Paulo in 23% and 23%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick