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Cruz Azul vs Toluca prediction and preview — Liga MX

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Cruz Azul3–3Toluca

Estadio Banorte

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Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Cruz Azul vs Toluca: key facts and questions

When and where is Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul vs Toluca was played on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 22:50 UTC and finished 3–3. The venue is Estadio Banorte. It is a Liga MX fixture.
What is the recent form of Cruz Azul and Toluca?
Cruz Azul: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 15–10 on goals. Toluca: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–10 on goals.
Where are Cruz Azul and Toluca in the table?
Cruz Azul are 5th with 20 points; Toluca are 2nd with 21.
Have Cruz Azul and Toluca met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by Cruz Azul, 0 by Toluca and 4 draws. The last one, on 26 Sept 2026, finished Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca.
How often do Cruz Azul and Toluca matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 75% of Cruz Azul's matches and 67% of Toluca's had three goals or more. Cruz Azul average 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; Toluca 2.2 and 1.3.
How often do Cruz Azul and Toluca keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Cruz Azul kept a clean sheet in 17% of their matches and failed to score in 17%; Toluca in 33% and 8%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick