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Chicago Fire vs New York City FC prediction and preview — MLS

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Chicago Fire2–1New York City FC

Soldier Field

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

Chicago FireNew York City FC
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 14Total shots12
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 4Corners4
  • 18Fouls10
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 1Red cards0
  • 4Offsides2
  • 380Passes417
  • 79%Pass accuracy81%
  • 5Saves2
  • 1.09xG1.50

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 19′
    H. WolfGoal · Assist: A. Ojeda
  2. Dje Tah D'AvillaYellow card
    20′
  3. Dje Tah D'AvillaYellow card
    43′
  4. Dje Tah D'AvillaRed card
    43′
  5. J. Bamba ⇄ M. PinedaSubstitution
    46′
  6. 46′
    N. Cavallo ⇄ K. O'TooleSubstitution
  7. A. SaletrosGoal · Assist: M. Haile-Selassie
    55′
  8. 60′
    A. Perea ⇄ Raul GustavoSubstitution
  9. 60′
    A. Martinez ⇄ LuighiSubstitution
  10. Mbekezeli MbokaziYellow card
    64′
  11. R. Lewandowski ⇄ J. GomezSubstitution
    71′
  12. P. Zinckernagel ⇄ P. DithejaneSubstitution
    71′
  13. L. Barroso ⇄ N. AllenSubstitution
    72′
  14. 76′
    J. Sands ⇄ J. ShoreSubstitution
  15. 76′
    A. Ojeda ⇄ B. TraoreSubstitution
  16. 82′
    H. Wolf ⇄ M. JonesSubstitution
  17. M. Haile-SelassieGoal
    88′
  18. Mauricio PinedaYellow card
    90+4′
  19. M. Haile-Selassie ⇄ A. Hanche-OlsenSubstitution
    90+5′

Chicago Fire had 48% of the ball and 14 shots (4 on target); New York City FC had 12 (6 on target). Corners: 4–4. Yellow cards: 4–0. Red cards: 1–0.

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC: key facts and questions

When and where is Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 18:30 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is Soldier Field. It is a MLS fixture.
What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and New York City FC?
Chicago Fire: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 7–6 on goals. New York City FC: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–8 on goals.
Where are Chicago Fire and New York City FC in the table?
Chicago Fire are 8th with 48 points; New York City FC are 22nd with 34.
Have Chicago Fire and New York City FC met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by Chicago Fire, 3 by New York City FC and 1 draw. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC.
How often do Chicago Fire and New York City FC matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 73% of Chicago Fire's matches and 50% of New York City FC's had three goals or more. Chicago Fire average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match; New York City FC 1.4 and 1.4.
How often do Chicago Fire and New York City FC keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Chicago Fire kept a clean sheet in 23% of their matches and failed to score in 10%; New York City FC in 17% and 20%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick