When and where is Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki was played on Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 07:00 UTC and finished 3–2. The venue is Yodoko Sakura Stadium. It is a J1 League fixture.

What is the recent form of Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki?

Cerezo Osaka: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 17–8 on goals. V-varen Nagasaki: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–6 on goals.

Where are Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki in the table?

Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21.

Have Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki met recently?

Yes: 2 meetings on record — 1 won by Cerezo Osaka, 1 by V-varen Nagasaki and 0 draws. The last one, on 9 May 2026, finished Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki.

How often do Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 55% of Cerezo Osaka's matches and 50% of V-varen Nagasaki's had three goals or more. Cerezo Osaka average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match; V-varen Nagasaki 1.1 and 1.4.

How often do Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Cerezo Osaka kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches and failed to score in 25%; V-varen Nagasaki in 25% and 25%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki — 9 May 2026

J1 LeagueElite

Cerezo Osaka3–2

V-varen Nagasaki

Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Our prediction

Medium

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

Cerezo OsakaV-varen Nagasaki

2.5Form rating2.0

2.30Goals scored (avg)1.20

1.20Goals conceded (avg)1.30

1.48xG for1.22

1.62xG against1.75

30.0%Clean sheet %25.0%

25.0%Failed to score %25.0%

55.0%Over 2.5 rate50.0%

Based on 20 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki

Expected goals trend
Matches	Cerezo Osaka	V-varen Nagasaki
−10	1.19	0.53
−9	1.95	0.08
−8	1.01	0.25
−7	1.32	1.87
−6	1.00	1.30
−5	1.30	1.98
−4	3.71	1.33
−3	2.82	2.39
−2	2.29	2.06
−1	1.82	0.60

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Cerezo Osaka · 1st half	0.9
Cerezo Osaka · 2nd half	0.65
V-varen Nagasaki · 1st half	0.65
V-varen Nagasaki · 2nd half	0.45

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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J1 League

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	+4	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	+9	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	+2	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	+8	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	+6	28
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	10	-3	26
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	10	-2	24
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	10	-6	23
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	-8	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	-10	21

Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki: key facts and questions

When and where is Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?: Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki was played on Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 07:00 UTC and finished 3–2. The venue is Yodoko Sakura Stadium. It is a J1 League fixture.
What is the recent form of Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki?: Cerezo Osaka: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 17–8 on goals. V-varen Nagasaki: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–6 on goals.
Where are Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki in the table?: Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21.
Have Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki met recently?: Yes: 2 meetings on record — 1 won by Cerezo Osaka, 1 by V-varen Nagasaki and 0 draws. The last one, on 9 May 2026, finished Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki.
How often do Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 55% of Cerezo Osaka's matches and 50% of V-varen Nagasaki's had three goals or more. Cerezo Osaka average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match; V-varen Nagasaki 1.1 and 1.4.
How often do Cerezo Osaka and V-varen Nagasaki keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Cerezo Osaka kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches and failed to score in 25%; V-varen Nagasaki in 25% and 25%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick