When and where is Burnley vs Derby?

Burnley vs Derby was played on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 1–1. The venue is Turf Moor. It is a Championship fixture.

What is the recent form of Burnley and Derby?

Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–8 on goals. Derby: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–9 on goals.

Where are Burnley and Derby in the table?

Burnley are 22nd with 8 points; Derby are 23rd with 6.

Have Burnley and Derby met recently?

Yes: 4 meetings on record — 1 won by Burnley, 0 by Derby and 3 draws. The last one, on 19 Sept 2026, finished Burnley 1–1 Derby.

How often do Burnley and Derby matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 73% of Burnley's matches and 55% of Derby's had three goals or more. Burnley average 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match; Derby 0.8 and 1.8.

How often do Burnley and Derby keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Burnley kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 0%; Derby in 9% and 36%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Burnley vs Derby?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Burnley 1–1 Derby — 19 Sept 2026

Championship

Burnley1–1

Derby

Turf Moor

Our prediction

Medium

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

BurnleyDerby

0.9Form rating0.3

1.40Goals scored (avg)0.80

1.90Goals conceded (avg)1.80

1.23xG for0.95

1.60xG against1.65

9.1%Clean sheet %9.1%

0.0%Failed to score %36.4%

72.7%Over 2.5 rate54.5%

Based on 11 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Burnley
Derby

Expected goals trend
Matches	Burnley	Derby
−10	1.18	1.62
−9	1.38	0.70
−8	0.64	0.55
−7	0.26	0.11
−6	1.50	1.27
−5	1.73	1.11
−4	0.45	1.75
−3	1.94	0.60
−2	1.08	0.86
−1	1.07	0.99

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Burnley · 1st half	0.82
Burnley · 2nd half	0.64
Derby · 1st half	0.45
Derby · 2nd half	0.36

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	-15	4

What's next

Next for Burnley

Next for Derby

Burnley vs Derby: key facts and questions

When and where is Burnley vs Derby?: Burnley vs Derby was played on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and finished 1–1. The venue is Turf Moor. It is a Championship fixture.
What is the recent form of Burnley and Derby?: Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 9–8 on goals. Derby: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–9 on goals.
Where are Burnley and Derby in the table?: Burnley are 22nd with 8 points; Derby are 23rd with 6.
Have Burnley and Derby met recently?: Yes: 4 meetings on record — 1 won by Burnley, 0 by Derby and 3 draws. The last one, on 19 Sept 2026, finished Burnley 1–1 Derby.
How often do Burnley and Derby matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 73% of Burnley's matches and 55% of Derby's had three goals or more. Burnley average 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match; Derby 0.8 and 1.8.
How often do Burnley and Derby keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Burnley kept a clean sheet in 9% of their matches and failed to score in 0%; Derby in 9% and 36%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Burnley vs Derby?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick