When and where is Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama was played on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 UTC and finished 1–2. The venue is Estádio Nilton Santos. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.

What is the recent form of Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama?

Botafogo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–7 on goals. Vasco DA Gama: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 8–2 on goals.

Where are Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama in the table?

Botafogo are 11th with 39 points; Vasco DA Gama are 15th with 35.

Have Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama met recently?

Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Botafogo, 1 by Vasco DA Gama and 2 draws. The last one, on 7 Oct 2026, finished Botafogo 1–2 Vasco DA Gama.

How often do Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 61% of Botafogo's matches and 57% of Vasco DA Gama's had three goals or more. Botafogo average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match; Vasco DA Gama 1.2 and 1.4.

How often do Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Botafogo kept a clean sheet in 16% of their matches and failed to score in 23%; Vasco DA Gama in 13% and 33%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Botafogo 1–2 Vasco DA Gama — 7 Oct 2026

Brazil Série AElite

Botafogo1–2

Vasco DA Gama

Estádio Nilton Santos

Our prediction

Medium

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

BotafogoVasco DA Gama

46%Possession54%
11Total shots17
2Shots on target8
7Corners14
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Offsides2
366Passes434
81%Pass accuracy85%
5Saves1
0.61xG1.69

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

28′
Alan LescanoGoal · Assist: Bruno Duarte
42′
Bruno Duarte ⇄ DavidSubstitution
51′
DavidGoal · Assist: Facundo Colidio
Cristian Medina ⇄ Júnior SantosSubstitution
57′
Alex TellesGoal
60′
65′
Marino Hinestroza ⇄ AdsonSubstitution
65′
Alan Lescano ⇄ Tchê TchêSubstitution
Matheus Martins ⇄ Kauan ToledoSubstitution
69′
74′
Thiago MendesVAR review
Arthur Cabral ⇄ Tiquinho SoaresSubstitution
80′
Hakim Ziyech ⇄ Kadir BarríaSubstitution
80′
Vitinho ⇄ Mateo PonteSubstitution
80′
Tiquinho SoaresVAR review
84′
88′
Facundo Colidio ⇄ Nuno MoreiraSubstitution
88′
Paulo Henrique ⇄ Puma RodríguezSubstitution
Nahuel FerraresiYellow card
90+7′

Botafogo had 46% of the ball and 11 shots (2 on target); Vasco DA Gama had 17 (8 on target). Corners: 7–14. Yellow cards: 1–0. Red cards: 0–0.

Team comparison

BotafogoVasco DA Gama

1.6Form rating1.3

0.90Goals scored (avg)1.30

1.50Goals conceded (avg)1.20

1.20xG for1.43

1.41xG against0.98

16.1%Clean sheet %13.3%

22.6%Failed to score %33.3%

61.3%Over 2.5 rate56.7%

Based on 30 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama

Expected goals trend
Matches	Botafogo	Vasco DA Gama
−10	1.00	1.33
−9	2.46	0.65
−8	1.38	2.19
−7	0.40	2.30
−6	1.22	0.94
−5	0.48	1.69
−4	2.51	0.84
−3	0.61	0.49
−2	0.93	0.92
−1	2.41	0.00

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Botafogo · 1st half	0.61
Botafogo · 2nd half	0.81
Vasco DA Gama · 1st half	0.33
Vasco DA Gama · 2nd half	0.87

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Brazil Série A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	+2	45
9	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	+1	42
10	RB Bragantino	31	11	8	12	+3	41
11	Botafogo	31	10	9	12	-4	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	-11	39
13	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	-8	36
14	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36
15	Vasco DA Gama	30	9	8	13	-7	35
16	Internacional	31	7	11	13	-7	32
17	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	-10	31

What's next

Next for Botafogo

Next for Vasco DA Gama

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama: key facts and questions

When and where is Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?: Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama was played on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 UTC and finished 1–2. The venue is Estádio Nilton Santos. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama?: Botafogo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–7 on goals. Vasco DA Gama: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 8–2 on goals.
Where are Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama in the table?: Botafogo are 11th with 39 points; Vasco DA Gama are 15th with 35.
Have Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama met recently?: Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Botafogo, 1 by Vasco DA Gama and 2 draws. The last one, on 7 Oct 2026, finished Botafogo 1–2 Vasco DA Gama.
How often do Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 61% of Botafogo's matches and 57% of Vasco DA Gama's had three goals or more. Botafogo average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match; Vasco DA Gama 1.2 and 1.4.
How often do Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Botafogo kept a clean sheet in 16% of their matches and failed to score in 23%; Vasco DA Gama in 13% and 33%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick

Our prediction