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Austin vs Nashville SC prediction and preview — MLS

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Austin1–4Nashville SC

Q2 Stadium

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

AustinNashville SC
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 11Total shots25
  • 5Shots on target11
  • 4Corners6
  • 5Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides3
  • 378Passes510
  • 7Saves4
  • 1.11xG4.94

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 30′
    Reed Baker-WhitingGoal
  2. Guilherme BiroYellow card
    37′
  3. Jon Bell ⇄ Brendan Hines-IkeSubstitution
    45′
  4. Myrto Uzuni ⇄ Christian RamirezSubstitution
    60′
  5. Jorge Alastuey ⇄ Besard SabovicSubstitution
    61′
  6. 67′
    Elias SaadGoal
  7. 69′
    Elias Saad ⇄ Shakur MohammedSubstitution
  8. Mikkel Desler ⇄ Przemyslaw PłachetaSubstitution
    69′
  9. 75′
    Patrick Yazbek ⇄ Edvard Sandvik TagsethSubstitution
  10. 76′
    Andy Najar ⇄ Daniel LovitzSubstitution
  11. Brandon VazquezGoal · Assist: Facundo Daniel Torres Perez
    76′
  12. 78′
    Shakur MohammedYellow card
  13. 83′
    Brian SchwakeYellow card
  14. 88′
    Shakur MohammedGoal
  15. 89′
    Cristian Espinoza ⇄ josh bauerSubstitution
  16. 90′
    matthew corcoran ⇄ Bryan AcostaSubstitution
  17. 90+1′
    Hany MukhtarGoal · Assist: Shakur Mohammed

Austin had 42% of the ball and 11 shots (5 on target); Nashville SC had 25 (11 on target). Corners: 4–6. Yellow cards: 1–2. Red cards: 0–0.

Austin vs Nashville SC: key facts and questions

When and where is Austin vs Nashville SC?
Austin vs Nashville SC was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 00:30 UTC and finished 1–4. The venue is Q2 Stadium. It is a MLS fixture.
What is the recent form of Austin and Nashville SC?
Austin: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 6–12 on goals. Nashville SC: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 14–2 on goals.
Where are Austin and Nashville SC in the table?
Austin are 27th with 31 points; Nashville SC are 1st with 67.
Have Austin and Nashville SC met recently?
Yes: 2 meetings on record — 1 won by Austin, 1 by Nashville SC and 0 draws. The last one, on 11 Oct 2026, finished Austin 1–4 Nashville SC.
How often do Austin and Nashville SC matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 70% of Austin's matches and 60% of Nashville SC's had three goals or more. Austin average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match; Nashville SC 2.1 and 0.8.
How often do Austin and Nashville SC keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Austin kept a clean sheet in 17% of their matches and failed to score in 20%; Nashville SC in 47% and 17%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Austin vs Nashville SC?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick