When and where is Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia was played on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 22:30 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is Arena da Baixada. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.

What is the recent form of Atletico Paranaense and Bahia?

Atletico Paranaense: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 11–9 on goals. Bahia: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–7 on goals.

Where are Atletico Paranaense and Bahia in the table?

Atletico Paranaense are 3rd with 53 points; Bahia are 7th with 49.

Have Atletico Paranaense and Bahia met recently?

Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by Atletico Paranaense, 2 by Bahia and 2 draws. The last one, on 20 Sept 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia.

How often do Atletico Paranaense and Bahia matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 52% of Atletico Paranaense's matches and 52% of Bahia's had three goals or more. Atletico Paranaense average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match; Bahia 1.4 and 1.3.

How often do Atletico Paranaense and Bahia keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Atletico Paranaense kept a clean sheet in 26% of their matches and failed to score in 23%; Bahia in 29% and 16%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia — 20 Sept 2026

Brazil Série AElite

Atletico Paranaense2–1

Bahia

Arena da Baixada

Our prediction

Medium

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

Atletico ParanaenseBahia

1.4Form rating1.0

2.10Goals scored (avg)1.50

1.80Goals conceded (avg)1.40

1.36xG for1.34

1.02xG against1.34

25.8%Clean sheet %29.0%

22.6%Failed to score %16.1%

51.6%Over 2.5 rate51.6%

Based on 31 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Atletico Paranaense
Bahia

Expected goals trend
Matches	Atletico Paranaense	Bahia
−10	1.01	2.09
−9	1.97	1.38
−8	1.24	2.46
−7	1.79	1.83
−6	2.92	0.47
−5	0.68	0.43
−4	1.15	0.53
−3	2.48	0.52
−2	1.39	3.15
−1	1.34	0.99

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Atletico Paranaense · 1st half	0.81
Atletico Paranaense · 2nd half	0.77
Bahia · 1st half	0.81
Bahia · 2nd half	0.61

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Brazil Série A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	+36	67
2	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	+32	66
3	Atletico Paranaense	31	15	8	8	+12	53
4	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	+10	51
5	Cruzeiro	31	15	6	10	+4	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	+7	50
7	Bahia	31	13	10	8	+5	49
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	+2	45
9	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	+1	42
10	RB Bragantino	31	11	8	12	+3	41

What's next

Next for Atletico Paranaense

Next for Bahia

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia: key facts and questions

When and where is Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?: Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia was played on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 22:30 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is Arena da Baixada. It is a Brazil Série A fixture.
What is the recent form of Atletico Paranaense and Bahia?: Atletico Paranaense: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 11–9 on goals. Bahia: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 4–7 on goals.
Where are Atletico Paranaense and Bahia in the table?: Atletico Paranaense are 3rd with 53 points; Bahia are 7th with 49.
Have Atletico Paranaense and Bahia met recently?: Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by Atletico Paranaense, 2 by Bahia and 2 draws. The last one, on 20 Sept 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia.
How often do Atletico Paranaense and Bahia matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 52% of Atletico Paranaense's matches and 52% of Bahia's had three goals or more. Atletico Paranaense average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match; Bahia 1.4 and 1.3.
How often do Atletico Paranaense and Bahia keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Atletico Paranaense kept a clean sheet in 26% of their matches and failed to score in 23%; Bahia in 29% and 16%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick