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Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati prediction and preview — MLS

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Atlanta United FC1–3FC Cincinnati

Atlanta Stadium

Our prediction

Low
Our prediction

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Match stats

Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 16Total shots13
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 5Corners4
  • 8Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Offsides1
  • 520Passes398
  • 83%Pass accuracy81%
  • 0Saves5
  • 1.35xG2.34

Final numbers after the whistle.

Match events

  1. 2′
    Teenage HadebeYellow card
  2. Tomás JacobYellow card
    43′
  3. 52′
    K. DenkeyGoal · Assist: T. Barlow
  4. A. Fortune ⇄ A. MiranchukSubstitution
    56′
  5. 60′
    D. Doudera ⇄ E. EcheniqueSubstitution
  6. M. AlmironGoal · Assist: B. Embolo
    69′
  7. 72′
    M. Robinson ⇄ J. MalatiniSubstitution
  8. 72′
    T. Malacia ⇄ B. J. Ramirez LeonSubstitution
  9. 78′
    O. Nwobodo ⇄ T. AnungaSubstitution
  10. 78′
    S. Gidi ⇄ G. ValenzuelaSubstitution
  11. 84′
    T. BarlowGoal · Assist: K. Smith
  12. T. Muyumba ⇄ C. SanchezSubstitution
    86′
  13. Giuliano Galoppo ⇄ F. PicaultSubstitution
    86′
  14. 88′
    Julián MalatiniYellow card
  15. 90′
    K. DenkeyGoal · Assist: E. Echenique
  16. E. Baez ⇄ Sergio SantosSubstitution
    90+2′
  17. Mauricio AmaroYellow card
    90+4′
  18. 90+4′
    Tom BarlowYellow card

Atlanta United FC had 56% of the ball and 16 shots (6 on target); FC Cincinnati had 13 (4 on target). Corners: 5–4. Yellow cards: 2–3. Red cards: 0–0.

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: key facts and questions

When and where is Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 23:30 UTC and finished 1–3. The venue is Atlanta Stadium. It is a MLS fixture.
What is the recent form of Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati?
Atlanta United FC: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 8–8 on goals. FC Cincinnati: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches, 8–11 on goals.
Where are Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati in the table?
Atlanta United FC are 28th with 30 points; FC Cincinnati are 19th with 36.
Have Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by Atlanta United FC, 3 by FC Cincinnati and 1 draw. The last one, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Atlanta United FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati.
How often do Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 63% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 72% of FC Cincinnati's had three goals or more. Atlanta United FC average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match; FC Cincinnati 2.1 and 2.4.
How often do Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
Atlanta United FC kept a clean sheet in 13% of their matches and failed to score in 30%; FC Cincinnati in 7% and 17%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick