When and where is Almeria vs Burgos?

Almeria vs Burgos was played on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 14:15 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is UD Almería Stadium. It is a Segunda División fixture.

What is the recent form of Almeria and Burgos?

Almeria: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 12–3 on goals. Burgos: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–4 on goals.

Where are Almeria and Burgos in the table?

Almeria are 1st with 24 points; Burgos are 9th with 17.

Have Almeria and Burgos met recently?

Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Almeria, 2 by Burgos and 1 draw. The last one, on 3 Oct 2026, finished Almeria 2–1 Burgos.

How often do Almeria and Burgos matches go over 2.5 goals?

This season 50% of Almeria's matches and 50% of Burgos's had three goals or more. Almeria average 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match; Burgos 1.3 and 1.0.

How often do Almeria and Burgos keep a clean sheet or fail to score?

Almeria kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and failed to score in 20%; Burgos in 30% and 30%.

Is there a FootballEdge pick on Almeria vs Burgos?

No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.

How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?

Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page.

Almeria 2–1 Burgos: result & stats — 3 Oct 2026

Segunda DivisiónElite

Almeria2–1

Burgos

UD Almería Stadium

Our prediction

Medium

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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Team comparison

AlmeriaBurgos

3.0Form rating1.7

2.00Goals scored (avg)1.30

0.70Goals conceded (avg)1.00

1.53xG for1.39

1.38xG against1.42

50.0%Clean sheet %30.0%

20.0%Failed to score %30.0%

50.0%Over 2.5 rate50.0%

Based on 10 matches this season.

Expected goals trend

Expected goals created in each team's last ten completed matches.

Expected goals trend

Almeria
Burgos

Expected goals trend
Matches	Almeria	Burgos
−10	1.63	1.64
−9	0.97	0.67
−8	0.79	2.65
−7	1.40	1.81
−6	0.52	0.85
−5	2.40	1.07
−4	2.25	0.80
−3	2.19	1.14
−2	1.34	1.46
−1	1.47	2.13

Goals by half

Average goals scored in each half this season.

Goals by half

Goals by half
Goals	Goals per match
Almeria · 1st half	1.1
Almeria · 2nd half	0.9
Burgos · 1st half	0.6
Burgos · 2nd half	0.7

Score probability matrix

Probability (%) of every scoreline. Home goals down the side, away goals along the top. The outlined cell is the most likely single score — it is not a prediction.

Predictions are locked

Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	+13	24
2	Castellón	10	7	2	1	+14	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	+9	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	+2	19
6	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Granada CF	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Burgos	10	5	2	3	+3	17
10	Sabadell	10	4	4	2	+2	16
11	Eldense	10	4	2	4	0	14
12	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	+1	12

What's next

Next for Almeria

Next for Burgos

Almeria vs Burgos: key facts and questions

When and where is Almeria vs Burgos?: Almeria vs Burgos was played on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 14:15 UTC and finished 2–1. The venue is UD Almería Stadium. It is a Segunda División fixture.
What is the recent form of Almeria and Burgos?: Almeria: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in the last 5 matches, 12–3 on goals. Burgos: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–4 on goals.
Where are Almeria and Burgos in the table?: Almeria are 1st with 24 points; Burgos are 9th with 17.
Have Almeria and Burgos met recently?: Yes: 5 meetings on record — 2 won by Almeria, 2 by Burgos and 1 draw. The last one, on 3 Oct 2026, finished Almeria 2–1 Burgos.
How often do Almeria and Burgos matches go over 2.5 goals?: This season 50% of Almeria's matches and 50% of Burgos's had three goals or more. Almeria average 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match; Burgos 1.3 and 1.0.
How often do Almeria and Burgos keep a clean sheet or fail to score?: Almeria kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and failed to score in 20%; Burgos in 30% and 30%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on Almeria vs Burgos?: No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?: Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick