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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos prediction and preview — Cypriot First Division

Cypriot First DivisionGlobal
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AEK Larnaca0–1Pafos

AEK Arena

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Low
Our prediction

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Probabilities, expected goals and the reasoning behind our numbers for this match.

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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: key facts and questions

When and where is AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
AEK Larnaca vs Pafos was played on Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 16:00 UTC and finished 0–1. The venue is AEK Arena. It is a Cypriot First Division fixture.
What is the recent form of AEK Larnaca and Pafos?
AEK Larnaca: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches, 8–4 on goals. Pafos: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches, 5–6 on goals.
Where are AEK Larnaca and Pafos in the table?
AEK Larnaca are 2nd with 13 points; Pafos are 5th with 11.
Have AEK Larnaca and Pafos met recently?
Yes: 5 meetings on record — 1 won by AEK Larnaca, 2 by Pafos and 2 draws. The last one, on 13 Sept 2026, finished AEK Larnaca 0–1 Pafos.
How often do AEK Larnaca and Pafos matches go over 2.5 goals?
This season 50% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 33% of Pafos's had three goals or more. AEK Larnaca average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match; Pafos 1.2 and 0.5.
How often do AEK Larnaca and Pafos keep a clean sheet or fail to score?
AEK Larnaca kept a clean sheet in 17% of their matches and failed to score in 17%; Pafos in 67% and 50%.
Is there a FootballEdge pick on AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
No. Our numbers on this match were not clear enough for a pick — we publish fewer picks on purpose.
How can I check a pick wasn't changed after kick-off?
Every batch of picks gets a SHA-256 fingerprint minutes before kick-off, timestamped by an independent authority and anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain. Anyone can check it on our proof page. How to check a sealed pick