Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 0 matches
Tested on 95 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches29 picks across 95 matches
- Hit rate
- 93.1%
- +58.6pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 95.5%
- +77.3pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 85.7%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück — Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal | Bayern München1X2 | High | 89% | — | 1–4 | Hit | |
| VfL Osnabrück — Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | — | 1–4 | Hit | |
| Hallescher FC — FC Schalke 04DFB-Pokal | FC Schalke 041X2 | High | 84% | — | 2–5 | Hit | |
| Verl — Hamburger SVDFB-Pokal | Hamburger SV1X2 | High | 74% | — | 0–3 | Hit | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf — SC FreiburgDFB-Pokal | SC Freiburg1X2 | High | 73% | — | 1–5 | Hit | |
| Erzgebirge Aue — 1899 HoffenheimDFB-Pokal | 1899 Hoffenheim1X2 | High | 80% | — | 0–4 | Hit | |
| MSV Duisburg — SV ElversbergDFB-Pokal | SV Elversberg1X2 | High | 75% | — | 1–3 | Hit | |
| SV Wehen — Bayer LeverkusenDFB-Pokal | Bayer Leverkusen1X2 | High | 84% | — | 0–4 | Hit | |
| Hansa Rostock — VfB StuttgartDFB-Pokal | VfB Stuttgart1X2 | High | 81% | — | 0–4 | Hit | |
| Hansa Rostock — VfB StuttgartDFB-Pokal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 70% | — | 0–4 | Hit | |
| Bayern München — VfB StuttgartDFB-Pokal | Bayern München1X2 | High | 75% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Bayern München — VfB StuttgartDFB-Pokal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 73% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Bayern München — RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal | Bayern München1X2 | High | 78% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| Bayern München — RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 71% | — | 2–0 | Miss | |
| Bayer Leverkusen — FC St. PauliDFB-Pokal | Bayer Leverkusen1X2 | High | 70% | — | 3–0 | Hit | |
| Union Berlin — Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal | Bayern München1X2 | High | 72% | — | 2–3 | Hit | |
| RB Leipzig — 1. FC MagdeburgDFB-Pokal | RB Leipzig1X2 | High | 76% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Energie Cottbus — RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal | RB Leipzig1X2 | High | 76% | — | 1–4 | Hit | |
| Energie Cottbus — RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 71% | — | 1–4 | Hit | |
| SV Wehen — Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal | Bayern München1X2 | High | 93% | — | 2–3 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.