Audited ledger
Track Record
Every prediction we log before kick-off, scored against the final result — hits and misses, nothing removed. Matches we tested afterwards are labelled Backtest and counted separately. Each hit rate is printed next to the naive baseline it has to beat.
Live predictions
Logged before kick-off and settled at full time · 0 matches
Tested on 285 past matches since
What our current method calculates for past matches, using only data that was available before each kick-off. These were calculated after the matches were played and never published at the time, so they are kept apart from the live numbers above.
See the tested matches90 picks across 285 matches
- Hit rate
- 80.0%
- +6.7pt vs baseline
- 1X2
- 77.5%
- +12.2pt vs baseline
- O/U 2.5
- 82.9%
- +0.0pt vs baseline
Prediction ledger
| Date | Match | Market / Pick | Confidence | Our % | Closing odds | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht — Willem IIEredivisie | Utrecht1X2 | High | 68% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — HeerenveenEredivisie | PSV Eindhoven1X2 | High | 78% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — HeerenveenEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 76% | — | 2–0 | Miss | |
| Twente — PSV EindhovenEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 71% | — | 3–2 | Hit | |
| AZ Alkmaar — TelstarEredivisie | AZ Alkmaar1X2 | High | 68% | — | 1–0 | Hit | |
| Ajax — Willem IIEredivisie | Ajax1X2 | High | 75% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| Ajax — Willem IIEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | Medium | 68% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | PSV Eindhoven1X2 | High | 83% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 77% | — | 4–1 | Hit | |
| Twente — ADO Den HaagEredivisie | Twente1X2 | High | 75% | — | 2–0 | Hit | |
| AZ Alkmaar — Willem IIEredivisie | AZ Alkmaar1X2 | High | 73% | — | 1–1 | Miss | |
| Ajax — PSV EindhovenEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 73% | — | 1–3 | Hit | |
| Feyenoord — ADO Den HaagEredivisie | Feyenoord1X2 | High | 80% | — | 2–2 | Miss | |
| Utrecht — PSV EindhovenEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 71% | — | 1–6 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — GroningenEredivisie | PSV Eindhoven1X2 | High | 80% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven — GroningenEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 72% | — | 5–1 | Hit | |
| GO Ahead Eagles — ADO Den HaagEredivisie | GO Ahead Eagles1X2 | High | 67% | — | 3–1 | Hit | |
| Excelsior — PSV EindhovenEredivisie | PSV Eindhoven1X2 | High | 68% | — | 1–2 | Hit | |
| Excelsior — PSV EindhovenEredivisie | Over 2.5O/U 2.5 | High | 75% | — | 1–2 | Hit | |
| AZ Alkmaar — ADO Den HaagEredivisie | AZ Alkmaar1X2 | High | 69% | — | 2–0 | Hit |
Past results are not a prediction of future results. FootballEdge publishes calculated probabilities and market prices for analysis; it does not give betting advice and takes no bets. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.